About 'historical forex rates'|FOREX RATES..

About 'historical forex rates'|FOREX RATES..

Ｔｈｅ               ｂｕｓｉｎｅｓｓ               ｗｏｒｌｄ               ｒｅｖｏｌｖｅｓ               ａｒｏｕｎｄ               ａ               ｆｅｗ               ｍａｊｏｒ               ｃｏｎｃｅｐｔｓ               ｏｒ               ｆａｃｔｏｒｓ               ｗｈｉｃｈ               ｉｎｃｌｕｄｅ               ｒｅｓｏｕｒｃｅｓ,               ｖａｌｕｅ               ａｄｄｉｎｇ               ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｅｓ,               ｍａｒｋｅｔ               ｐｌａｃｅ,               ｃｕｓｔｏｍｅｒｓ,               ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅ,               ｇｒｏｗｔｈ,               ｒｉｓｋ               ｔｏ               ｎａｍｅ               ａ               ｆｅｗ. Ｉｎ               ｔｕｒｎ               ａｌｌ               ｏｆ               ｔｈｅｓｅ               ａｒｅ               ｔｉｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｏｎｅ               ｃｅｎｔｒａｌ               ｃｏｎｃｅｐｔ               ｉ.ｅ. ｔｈｅ               ｍａｒｋｅｔ               ｃｌｅａｒｉｎｇ               ｐｒｉｃｅ               ｏｒ               ｓｉｍｐｌｙ               ＰＲＩＣＥ               ｏｒ               ＣＯＳＴ               ｄｅｐｅｎｄｉｎｇ               ｏｎ               ｙｏｕｒ               ｐｏｓｉｔｉｏｎ               ｉｎ               ｔｈｅ               ｔｒａｎｓａｃｔｉｏｎ.                Ｐｒｉｃｅ               ｉｓ               ｔｈｅ               ｃｏｎｃｅｐｔ               ｗｈｉｃｈ               ｅｑｕａｌｉｚｅｓ               ｄｅｍａｎｄ               ａｎｄ               ｓｕｐｐｌｙ               ａｎｄ               ｃｏｎｓｅｑｕｅｎｔｌｙ               ａｌｌ               ｂｕｓｉｎｅｓｓ               ａｃｔｉｖｉｔｙ               ｗｈｅｔｈｅｒ               ｉｔ               ｉｓ               ｉｎ               ｔｈｅ               ｂｒｉｃｋ-ａｎｄ-ｍｏｒｔａｒ               ｗｏｒｌｄ               ｏｒ               ｔｈｅ               ｔｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙ               ｗｏｒｌｄ               ｏｒ               ａｎｙ               ｏｔｈｅｒ               ｄｏｍａｉｎ               ｏｆ               ｈｕｍａｎ               ｅｎｄｅａｖｏｒ               (ｆｏｒ               ｔｈａｔ               ｍａｔｔｅｒ               ｉｎｃｌｕｄｉｎｇ               ｓｐａｃｅ               ｆｌｉｇｈｔｓ               ａｎｄ               ｓｅａｒｃｈ               ｆｏｒ               ｅｘｏｔｉｃ               ａｎｄ               ｒａｒｅ               ｍｉｎｅｒａｌｓ).                Ｔｈｅｒｅｆｏｒｅ               ｉｔ               ｍａｋｅｓ               ｓｅｎｓｅ               ｆｏｒ               ａｌｌ               ｓｔｕｄｅｎｔｓ               ｏｆ               ｂｕｓｉｎｅｓｓ               ｔｏ               ｈａｖｅ               ａ               ｂａｓｉｃ               ｃｏｎｃｅｐｔｕａｌ               ｕｎｄｅｒｓｔａｎｄｉｎｇ               ｏｆ               ｈｏｗ               ｔｏ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔ               ｏｒ               ｐｒｏｇｎｏｓｔｉｃａｔｅ               ｐｒｉｃｅｓ               ｏｆ               ｃｏｍｍｏｎｌｙ               ｔｒａｄｅｄ               ｐｒｏｄｕｃｔｓ               ａｎｄ               ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅｓ               ｉｎ               ｏｒｄｅｒ               ｔｏ               ｄｅｖｅｌｏｐ               ｆｕｔｕｒｅ               ｐｌａｎｓ.                Ｈｏｗ               ｃａｎ               ｗｅ               ｄｏ               ｔｈａｔ               ?                Ｔｈｅｒｅ               ａｒｅ               ｖａｒｉｏｕｓ               ｗａｙｓ               ｏｆ               ａｐｐｒｏａｃｈｉｎｇ               ｔｈｉｓ               ｆｕｎｄａｍｅｎｔａｌ               ｂｕｓｉｎｅｓｓ               ｐｒｏｂｌｅｍ.                1. ＤＥＴＥＲＭＩＮＥ               ＤＥＭＡＮＤ               ＡＮＤ               ＳＵＰＰＬＹ               ＣＵＲＶＥＳ                Ｔｈｅ               ａｂｏｖｅ               ｅｎｃｏｍｐａｓｓｅｓ               ｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎｉｎｇ               ａｎｄ               ｐｌｏｔｔｉｎｇ               ｅｘｐｅｃｔｅｄ               ｄｅｍａｎｄ               ａｎｄ               ｓｕｐｐｌｙ               ｃｕｒｖｅｓ               ｆｏｒ               ｔｈｅ               ｐｒｏｄｕｃｔ               ｕｎｄｅｒ               ｒｅｖｉｅｗ. Ｔｈｉｓ               ｍａｙ               ｂｅ               ｐｏｓｓｉｂｌｅ               ｂｙ               ｕｔｉｌｉｚｉｎｇ               ｓｔａｔｉｓｔｉｃａｌ               ｔｏｏｌｓ               ｓｕｃｈ               ａｓ               ｒｅｇｒｅｓｓｉｏｎ               ａｎａｌｙｓｉｓ               ｅｔｃ. ｂｕｔ               ｗｉｌｌ               ｎｏｔ               ｂｅ               ｐｒａｃｔｉｃａｌ               ａｓ               ａｃｃｕｒａｔｅ               ｅｃｏｎｏｍｉｃ               ｄａｔａ               ｉｓ               ｉｍｐｏｓｓｉｂｌｅ               ｔｏ               ｃｏｍｐｉｌｅ;               ｅｓｐｅｃｉａｌｌｙ               ｄａｔａ               ｂａｓｅｄ               ｏｎ               ｄｅｍａｎｄ               ｉｍｐｕｌｓｅ               ｇｅｎｅｒａｔｅｄ               ｂｙ               ｔｈｅ               ｈｕｍａｎ               ｍｉｎｄ               ａｎｄ               ｂｏｄｙ,               ｗｅａｔｈｅｒ,               ｍｉｎｉｎｇ               ｄｉｓｃｏｖｅｒｉｅｓ               ｅｔｃ.                Ｓｏ               ｔｈｉｓ               ｍｅｔｈｏｄ               ｉｓ               ｏｕｔ               ｏｆ               ｒｅａｃｈ               ｏｆ               ｍｏｓｔ               ｏｆ               ｕｓ               ｏｔｈｅｒ               ｔｈａｎ               ｅｃｏｎｏｍｅｔｒｉｃ               ｅｘｐｅｒｔｓ.                2. ＰＵＲＥ               ＦＩＮＡＮＣＩＡＬ               ＡＮＡＬＹＳＩＳ               ＢＡＳＥＤ               ＯＮ               ＦＵＮＤＡＭＥＮＴＡＬ               ＥＣＯＮＯＭＩＣ               ＭＥＴＲＩＣＳ                Ｗｅ               ａｒｅ               ｔａｌｋｉｎｇ               ａｂｏｕｔ               ｆｕｎｄａｍｅｎｔａｌ               ａｎａｌｙｓｅｓ               ｗｈｉｃｈ               ｉｎｃｌｕｄｅｓ               ＤＣＦ,               ＩＲＲ,               ＥＶＡ               ｅｔｃ. ｆｏｒ               ｃｏｍｐａｎｉｅｓ. Ｔｈｉｓ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｉｎｇ               ｉｎ               ｉｔｓｅｌｆ               ｉｎｃｌｕｄｅｓ               ａｎｏｔｈｅｒ               ｒｏｕｎｄ               ｏｆ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｉｎｇ               ａｎｄ               ｍａｋｉｎｇ               ａｓｓｕｍｐｔｉｏｎｓ               ｒｅｇａｒｄｉｎｇ               ａｌｌ               ｒａｗ               ｍａｔｅｒｉａｌｓ               ａｎｄ               ｏｔｈｅｒ               ｃｏｓｔｓ               ｇｏｉｎｇ               5               ｙｅａｒｓ               ｉｎｔｏ               ｔｈｅ               ｆｕｔｕｒｅ               ａｔ               ｔｈｅ               ｌｅａｓｔ. Ｆｕｒｔｈｅｒｍｏｒｅ,               ｔｈｅ               ｓａｍｅ               ｃｏｎｃｅｐｔｓ               ｗｉｌｌ               ｂｅ               ｖｅｒｙ               ｄｉｆｆｉｃｕｌｔ               ｉｆ               ｎｏｔ               ｉｍｐｏｓｓｉｂｌｅ               ｔｏ               ａｐｐｌｙ               ｔｏ               ｓａｙ               Ｃｒｕｄｅ               Ｏｉｌ               ｏｒ               ａｎｙ               ｏｔｈｅｒ               ｃｏｍｍｏｄｉｔｙ. Ｙｏｕ               ｃａｎｎｏｔ               ａｐｐｌｙ               ＤＣＦ               ｔｏ               Ｐａｌｌａｄｉｕｍ               ｏｒ               ｃａｎ               ｙｏｕ?                Ｓｏ               ｗｅ               ａｒｅ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｉｎｇ               ｔｈｅ               ｐｒｉｃｅ               ｏｆ               ａ               ｃｏｍｐａｎｙ               ｂａｓｅｄ               ｏｎ               ｏｕｒ               ａｓｓｕｍｐｔｉｏｎｓ               (ｒｅａｄ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｓ               ａｂｏｕｔ               ｆｕｔｕｒｅ               ｐｒｉｃｅｓ               ｏｆ               ｒａｗ               ｍａｔｅｒｉａｌ,               ｈｕｍａｎ               ｒｅｓｏｕｒｃｅ,               ｉｎｔｅｒｅｓｔ               ｒａｔｅｓ               ｅｔｃ.). Ｗｅ               ａｒｅ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｉｎｇ               ｏｎ               ｔｈｅ               ｂａｓｉｓ               ｏｆ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｓ               ｏｒ               ｉｎ               ｍｙ               ｗｏｒｄｓ               ｓｑｕａｒｉｎｇ               ｕｎｋｎｏｗｎｓ               ｂｙ               ａｎ               ｅｑｕｉｖａｌｅｎｔ               ｕｎｋｎｏｗｎ               ｆａｃｔｏｒ...ｗｈｙ               ｄｏｅｓ               ｔｈａｔ               ｒｅｍｉｎｄ               ｍｅ               ｏｆ               Ｄｏｎａｌｄ               Ｒｕｍｓｆｅｌｄ...?                3. ＭＯＤＥＬＳ               ＢＡＳＥＤ               ＯＮ               ＰＡＳＴ               ＨＵＭＡＮ               ＢＥＨＡＶＩＯＲ               ＲＥＧＡＲＤＩＮＧ               ＢＵＹＩＮＧ               ＡＮＤ               ＳＥＬＬＩＮＧ               ＡＮＤ               ＰＲＩＣＥ               ＨＩＳＴＯＲＹ                Ｔｈａｔ               ｓｅｅｍｓ               ｃｏｍｐｌｉｃａｔｅｄ. Ｂｕｔ               ｉｔ               ｉｓ               ｎｏｔ. Ｉｔｓ               ｊｕｓｔ               ａ               ｔｙｐｅ               ｏｆ               ｔｅｃｈｎｉｃａｌ               ａｎａｌｙｓｉｓ.                Ｗｅ               ｕｎｄｅｒｓｔａｎｄ               ｔｈａｔ               ｔｏ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔ               ｐｒｉｃｅｓ               ｔｈｒｏｕｇｈ               ｍａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌ               ｍｏｄｅｌｓ               ａｓ               ｍｅｎｔｉｏｎｅｄ               ａｂｏｖｅ,               ｗｅ               ｎｅｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔ               ａ               ｈｏｓｔ               ｏｆ               ｏｔｈｅｒ               ｆａｃｔｏｒｓ               ａｎｄ               ｐｒｉｃｅｓ               ａｎｄ               ｔｈｉｓ               ｃｏｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｓ               ａｎ               ｕｎｅｎｄｉｎｇ               ｃｈａｉｎ. Ｅｖｉｄｅｎｃｅ               ｓｕｇｇｅｓｔｓ               ｔｈａｔ               ＣＡＰＭ,               ＤＣＦ               ａｎｄ               ｏｔｈｅｒ               ｍｏｄｅｌｓ               ｆａｉｌｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔ               ｔｈｅ               Ｇｒｅａｔ               Ｒｅｃｅｓｓｉｏｎ               ｔｈａｔ               ｗｅ               ａｒｅ               ｌｉｖｉｎｇ               ｔｈｒｏｕｇｈ. Ｎｏｔ               ｂｅｃａｕｓｅ               ｔｈｅｒｅ               ｉｓ               ｓｏｍｅｔｈｉｎｇ               ｉｎｈｅｒｅｎｔｌｙ               ｗｒｏｎｇ               ｗｉｔｈ               ｔｈｅ               ｌｏｇｉｃ               ｏｆ               ｔｈｅ               ｍｏｄｅｌｓ               ｂｕｔ               ｂｅｃａｕｓｅ               ｔｈｅｙ               ａｒｅ               ｔｈｅｍｓｅｌｖｅｓ               ｄｅｐｅｎｄｅｎｔ               ｏｎ               ｖａｒｉｏｕｓ               ａｓｓｕｍｐｔｉｏｎｓ               ａｂｏｕｔ               ｆｕｔｕｒｅ               ｅｖｅｎｔｓ               ａｎｄ               ｈｅｎｃｅ               ｔｒｙ               ｔｏ               ｒｅｐｌｉｃａｔｅ               ｒａｔｉｏｎａｌ               ｈｕｍａｎ               ｂｅｈａｖｉｏｒ               ｗｈｅｎ               ｗｅ               ｋｎｏｗ               ｔｈａｔ               ｈｕｍａｎｓ               ｃａｎ               ａｌｓｏ               ｂｅ               ｑｕｉｔｅ               ｉｒｒａｔｉｏｎａｌ. Ｔｕｌｉｐ               ｍａｎｉａ,               Ｗｏｒｌｄ               Ｗａｒｓ...ａｎｙｏｎｅ...                Ａｔ               ＱＡＭ               Ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ,               ｗｅ               ｂｅｌｉｅｖｅ               ｔｈａｔ               ｗｅ               ｃａｎ               ｓｉｍｐｌｉｆｙ               ｔｈｅ               ｗｈｏｌｅ               ｃｏｎｃｅｐｔ               ｏｆ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｉｎｇ,               ｏｒ               ｔｏ               ｕｓｅ               ａ               ｂｅｔｔｅｒ               ｔｅｒｍ,               ｐｒｏｇｎｏｓｔｉｃａｔｉｎｇ               ｐｒｉｃｅｓ               ｔｈｒｏｕｇｈ               ａ               ｓｔｕｄｙ               ｏｆ               ｈｉｓｔｏｒｉｃａｌ               ｐｒｉｃｅｓ               ｃｏｍｂｉｎｅｄ               ｗｉｔｈ               ｃｅｒｔａｉｎ               ｍｏｄｅｌｓ               ｄｅｒｉｖｅｄ               ｂｙ               ｍａｒｋｅｔ               ｏｂｓｅｒｖｅｒｓ               ｉｎｄｕｃｔｉｖｅｌｙ               ｏｖｅｒ               ｔｈｅ               ｃｅｎｔｕｒｉｅｓ. Ｔｈｉｓ               ｂｏｄｙ               ｏｆ               ｋｎｏｗｌｅｄｇｅ               ｉｓ               ｃｏｍｍｏｎｌｙ               ｃａｌｌｅｄ               Ｔｅｃｈｎｉｃａｌ               Ａｎａｌｙｓｉｓ               ｂｕｔ               ｗｅ               ｃａｌｌ               ｉｔ               ｔｈｅ               ＱＡＭ               ＴＲＡＤＩＮＧ               ＴＥＭＰＬＡＴＥＳ               1.4               ａｓ               ｍｏｄｉｆｉｅｄ               ａｎｄ               ｄｉｓｃｉｐｌｉｎｅｄ               ｂｙ               ｏｕｒ               ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ               ｏｆ               18               ｙｅａｒｓ               ｉｎｔｏ               ｔｈｅ               ｓｕｂｊｅｃｔ.                Ｗｅ               ｈａｖｅ               ｎｏ               ｃｌａｉｍ               ｔｏ               ｔｈｅ               ｏｂｊｅｃｔｉｖｉｔｙ               ｏｆ               ｏｕｒ               ｔｅｍｐｌａｔｅ               ｂａｓｅｄ               ｍｏｄｅｌ,               ｂｕｔ               ｔｈｅｙ               ａｒｅ               ｂａｓｅｄ               ｏｎ               ｃｏｎｃｅｐｔｓ               ｔｈａｔ               ａｒｅ               ｓａｉｄ               ｔｏ               ｍｏｄｅｌ               ｐｒｉｃｅ               ａｃｔｉｏｎ               ｏｒ               ｉｎ               ｏｔｈｅｒ               ｗｏｒｄｓ,               ｈｕｍａｎ               ｂｅｈａｖｉｏｒ               ａｎｄ               ｗｅ               ｂｅｌｉｅｖｅ               ａｒｅ               ｔｈｅ               ｍｏｓｔ               ｃｏｍｐｒｅｈｅｎｓｉｖｅ               ｗａｙ               ｏｆ               ｐｒｏｇｎｏｓｔｉｃａｔｉｎｇ               ｐｒｉｃｅｓ               ｏｆ               ａｃｔｉｖｅｌｙ               ｔｒａｄｅｄ               ｓｈａｒｅｓ,               ｆｕｔｕｒｅｓ,               ｃｏｍｍｏｄｉｔｉｅｓ,               ｃｕｒｒｅｎｃｉｅｓ               ｅｔｃ.                Ｓｏ               ｃｏｍｉｎｇ               ｂａｃｋ               ｔｏ               ｔｈｅ               ｔｈｅｍｅ               ｏｆ               ｔｈｅ               ａｒｔｉｃｌｅ,               ｗｈｅｎ               ａ               ｂｕｓｉｎｅｓｓ               ｍａｎａｇｅｒ               ｉｓ               ｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｉｎｇ               ｔｈｅ               ｆｅａｓｉｂｉｌｉｔｙ               ｏｆ               ａ               ｒｅｆｉｎｅｒｙ               ｉｎ               ｓａｙ               ｔｈｅ               Ｍｉｄｄｌｅ               Ｅａｓｔ,               ｈｅ/ｓｈｅ               ｎｅｅｄｓ               ｔｏ               ｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔ               ｃｒｕｄｅ               ｐｒｉｃｅｓ,               ｉｎｔｅｒｅｓｔ               ｒａｔｅｓ,               ｅｘｃｈａｎｇｅ               ｒａｔｅｓ               ｏｖｅｒ               ａ               ｌｏｎｇ               ｔｅｒｍ               ｈｏｒｉｚｏｎ. Ｈｏｗ               ｉｓ               ｔｈａｔ               ｄｏｎｅ? Ｂｙ               ｕｔｉｌｉｚｉｎｇ               ｏｎｅ               ｏｆ               ｔｈｅ               ｍｅｔｈｏｄｓ               ｍｅｎｔｉｏｎｅｄ               ａｂｏｖｅ.                Ｔｏ               ｆｉｎｄ               ｍｏｒｅ               ａｂｏｕｔ               ｔｈｅ               ＱＡＭ               ＴＲＡＤＩＮＧ               ＴＥＭＰＬＡＴＥＳ               1.4               ,               ｗｒｉｔｅ               ｔｏ               ｕｓ               ａｔ               :                ｍｕｓｔａｆａａｍｊｅｄ@ｙａｈｏｏ.ｃｏｍ Ｍｕｓｔａｆａ               ＱＡＭ               ＲＥＳＥＡＲＣＨ                ＴＥＭＰＬＡＴＥＳ               ＦＯＲ               ＷＩＮＮＩＮＧ               ＴＲＡＤＥＲＳ                               ＤＩＳＣＬＡＩＭＥＲ                Ｔｒａｄｉｎｇ               ｉｓ               ｉｎｈｅｒｅｎｔｌｙ               ａ               ｒｉｓｋｙ               ｂｕｓｉｎｅｓｓ               ｐｒｏｐｏｓｉｔｉｏｎ               ｗｉｔｈ               ｐｏｔｅｎｔｉａｌ               ｆｏｒ               ｈｕｇｅ               ｌｏｓｓｅｓ. Ｔｈｅ               ａｂｏｖｅ               ｔｅｘｔ,               ｔｅｍｐｌａｔｅｓ,               ｓｅｍｉｎａｒｓ,               ｗｏｒｋｓｈｏｐｓ,               ｃｏｕｒｓｅｓ,               ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ,               ａｓｓｉｇｎｍｅｎｔｓ               ａｎｄ               ａｎｙ               ｏｔｈｅｒ               ｍａｔｅｒｉａｌ               ａｎｄ               ｉｎｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎ               ｍａｒｋｅｔｅｄ               ｂｙ               ＱＡＭ               Ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ               ａｎｄ               ｔｈｉｓ               ｂｌｏｇ               ａｒｅ               ｆｏｒ               ｔｒａｉｎｉｎｇ               ａｎｄ               ｅｄｕｃａｔｉｏｎａｌ               ｐｕｒｐｏｓｅｓ               ｏｎｌｙ. Ａｌｌ               ｔｒａｄｅｒｓ,               ｒｅａｄｅｒｓ,               ｔｒａｉｎｅｅｓ,               ｗｏｒｋｓｈｏｐ               ｐａｒｔｉｃｉｐａｎｔｓ,               ｃｏｕｒｓｅ               ｐａｒｔｉｃｉｐａｎｔｓ,               ｃｌｉｅｎｔｓ               ｅｔ. ａｌ. ａｒｅ               ｔｈｅｍｓｅｌｖｅｓ               ｒｅｓｐｏｎｓｉｂｌｅ               ｆｏｒ               ａｌｌ               ｔｈｅｉｒ               ｔｒａｄｉｎｇ               ｄｅｃｉｓｉｏｎｓ.

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